SpaceX could be the next to send humans to the Moon???

Yes, you heard that right.  They have yet to launch their crewed spacecraft as far as the ISS, but this week they announced that two undisclosed wealthy individuals have approached them about riding a Dragon capsule, boosted by their soon-to-fly Falcon Heavy, in a trip around the Moon.  (I’m betting they’re talking a lunar swingby mission, not an orbital mission.)  They plan on conducting this mission by the end of 2018.

For perspective, there are only two flights of Falcon Heavy currently on the manifest (the demo launch and a USAF experimental mission, one this year and one the next), and the crewed Dragon isn’t set to fly to the ISS until the fourth quarter of 2018 as it is.  (And the GAO recently expressed serious doubt about that even happening.)  So this is pretty ambitious.  Exciting, and very very cool, but certainly a stretch goal.

Who are the two individuals?  SpaceX isn’t saying.  They did, however, say they’d be happy to give NASA dibs on flying to the Moon aboard Dragon first — an announcement which came as a great shock to NASA, since they found out about all of this the same time the rest of us did.

This is sure to shake things up, and I’d not put odds on whether or not they’ll manage this.  I do have to wonder whether they’re overextending themselves.  They have put a lot of very ambitious challenges in front of themselves.  From a program risk perspective, this doesn’t seem like a good idea.  But if they pull it off . . . hoo boy.  There’s quite a payoff in terms of bragging rights, and it’s definitely a strong step towards their ultimate goal: Mars.

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